According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the 2005
hurricane season has a 70 percent probability of becoming an above-normal season, and only a 10 percent chance of becoming a below-normal season.
Experts predict 12-15 tropical storms this season, with seven to nine becoming hurricanes — and three to five of these becoming major hurricanes with sustained winds of over 110 miles per hour. NOAA's Atlantic hurricane outlook
reflects an expected continuation of above-average activity that began in 1995.
Since that time, all but two Atlantic hurricane seasons have been above-normal.
In contrast to the Atlantic, a below-normal hurricane season is expected in the
Eastern and Central Pacific. NOAA's outlook for the Eastern Pacific hurricane
season calls for 11-15 tropical storms, with six to eight becoming hurricanes of which two to four may become major hurricanes. Two or three tropical cyclones are projected for the Central Pacific.


"The 2004 hurricane season spawned 1.7 million claims,
$22 billion in insured losses and deductible payments of $2 billion -- the most
expensive season in history. The hurricanes' destruction fostered legislation
this year to protect homeowners and institute new insurance
regulations."
MSNBC, 6/7/2005


The 2004 hurricane season, which produced 15 storms, caused extensive damage to
Haiti, Grenada, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and Florida. Given the lessons learned during the 2004 hurricane season, combined with the predictions for this year, businesses should not underestimate the impact a storm can have on their
operations, whether they are in its path or not.
Before a storm hits, businesses need to consider pre-loss actions such as developing business continuity and crisis management plans, establishing internal and external communications procedures, putting in place and testing emergency response plans, assessing the resilience of the supply chain, instituting data
back-up and recovery protocols, evaluating levels of insurance coverage, and creating post-loss claims accounting and filing systems.


"Department of Homeland Security Under Secretary and head
of the Federal Emergency Management Agency Michael D. Brown said more homeowners,
renters and business owners need to know how to prepare for flooding. …Brown
urged Americans to take steps now to protect their property against tropical storm flooding.”
Insurance Journal, 5/31/2005


Understanding the potential impact uncontrollable severe weather such as
hurricanes can have on your business, and preparing for it, is the key to
managing weather-related risks. Your employees should know what to do before,
during, and after a storm hits. To gauge preparedness and protect your people and
business, you should be asking the following questions:
- Do I understand my potential natural-disaster losses and how to mitigate impacts?
- Is there a formal plan in place to manage such risks? How do I inform key stakeholders about policies and procedures?
- Do employees and operations managers know what to do in an emergency? Have
crisis scenarios been reviewed and response plans tested?
- How can I continue operations if employees must vacate a facility? How can I
determine when it is safe to re-enter?
- How can I manage and minimize the impact on my supply chain?
- What is my post-storm plan?
- Is there a plan in place to effectively communicate with my employees,
customers, suppliers, the media, public officials, and the general public?
- Have I established accounting and technical protocols to accurately measure
and track the extent of my losses? Can I adequately capture, manage, and report
damages?
- Have I established procedures to back up and/or recover digital data that could be lost during a storm? Do I know what expert resources I can call upon when data recovery is required?
- Will my current policies sufficiently cover any natural-disaster property and casualty claims, including business interruption losses? How can I present my claims to ensure maximum recovery?
To begin to answer these questions, an organization should start with a natural hazards risk assessment to understand the
potential impact of severe weather on its business. Computer modeling can be used
to analyze and quantify property risks and develop strategies to help mitigate natural hazards.
Once the risk is properly understood and quantified, an organization should
review its business continuity plans, emergency response capabilities, and crisis management plans to ensure that people know what to
do in the event of a storm watch, warning, and emergency — and after the
storm hits. Understanding the organization's insurance assets and being prepared
to file claims can also have a significant impact on a company's
ability to quickly resume business after a storm hits. It also is critical for a
company to communicate effectively with all key stakeholders during natural
disasters and other crisis events, and thus have procedures and policies in place
to ensure that communication with employees, government officials, and other
audiences occurs in a timely manner at all stages of an incident.


Seven to nine of [the predicted 2005] storms will become
hurricanes, and three to five of the hurricanes will be major ones, with
sustained winds exceeding 110 miles per hour, the agency said. An average
hurricane season has 9.6 tropical storms, of which 5.9 grow to hurricane strength
of 74 miles per hour. Of those hurricanes, 2.3 become major hurricanes.
Boston Globe, 5/17/2005


Just as importantly, given the information age in which we live, a business needs
to consider what digital data to store on and off premises as well as how it can
recover that data if there is a significant
power problem or damage to facilities in which computers and servers are located.
If the damaged computers are not handled properly, valuable information that
could aid with business recovery could be lost.
Even if your facilities are not impacted directly by a storm, your supply chain can be affected by events across the country
or halfway around the world. You should take steps to identify, quantify, and
prioritize critical weather-related risks that may impact your supply network and
develop strategies to mitigate the exposure.
Hurricane season continues from June until November. Even if your business was
spared the effects of Hurricanes Charley, Ivan, and Jeanne and Tropical Storm
Bonnie in 2004, it is wise to prepare for the 2005 season's storms. Although no
one can predict when, where and with what intensity a weather-related incident
will strike, businesses can protect and preserve their people, facilities, and
operations by being best prepared for the worst.
You may not be able to control the weather. But you can control the impact it has
on your business.
If you have any questions or would like additional information, please contact us.